The Scottish National Party (which opposed the Iraq war and which is anti-nuclear) could win a six-seat victory over Labour in the elections for the Scottish Parliament on 5 May 2011 (SNP surge).
On 17 April 2011, a YouGov poll for Scotland on Sunday ( poll ) shows:
In the constituency vote:
SNP (Scottish National Party) 40%
Labour 37%
Conservatives 11%
Liberal Democrats 8%.
In the regional list vote:
SNP 35%
Labour 33%
Conservatives 12%
Liberal Democrats 7%
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